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Analytic Flying's avatar

I like your framing: if PS was tomorrow! This is important since markets evolve over time, as we saw with PER-LHR!

It's not a fait accompli that PER-LHR switches to PS A350-1000s. It's been speculated, but very dependent on capacity needs and passenger mix. Could remain B787-9 or even non-PS A350-1000.

PS A350-1000s: it depends on how they schedule SYD/MEL-JFK/LHR as to how many aircraft they need. Doesn't have to run daily either. All four daily could be as few as 8 aircraft (just following existing SYD-AKL-JFK and PER-LHR schedules)! It's also likely that PS A350-1000 might also find their way into Asia for shorter segments to maintain utilisation similarly to how the B787-9 finds it way onto HND, HNL and SIN at times.

I don't see these displacing a lot of A380 flying. I'd expect SIN-LHR to remain, maybe not from SYD and maybe not A380 though. SYD/MEL-LAX and JNB-LAX remain, but we'll see A380 a lot more throughout Asia, including SIN and HKG.

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